Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.124345 0.187374 0.260711 0.349772 0.452800 0.566401 0.699435
2025-11-16 0.033126 0.094849 0.186405 0.315314 0.480467 0.676379 0.919043
2025-11-23 0.007194 0.056386 0.152083 0.303610 0.511174 0.768019 1.095733
2025-11-30 0.000409 0.037272 0.136927 0.311378 0.562431 0.882134 1.297919
2025-12-07 NaN 0.021358 0.117939 0.307402 0.593711 0.968117 1.463381
2025-12-14 NaN 0.008956 0.095380 0.291759 0.604937 1.025818 1.591993
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006647 0.098019 0.318256 0.676275 1.161893 1.818787
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004956 0.101148 0.345191 0.748160 1.298802 2.046924
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002659 0.098126 0.359631 0.800959 1.410120 2.242637
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002486 0.106590 0.396484 0.887907 1.567584 2.497564
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001748 0.110104 0.423368 0.959677 1.704732 2.726785
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000390 0.102459 0.426664 0.994710 1.791946 2.891977
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.078556 0.393280 0.973372 1.805042 2.966349
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.055924 0.355518 0.941963 1.802851 3.020479
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.045429 0.343299 0.950120 1.854175 3.142886
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.042696 0.351519 0.992560 1.954016 3.329345
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.036370 0.347296 1.012935 2.022039 3.473522
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.027309 0.330590 1.010113 2.055969 3.571888
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.030944 0.358866 1.087826 2.206895 3.826844
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.034709 0.387537 1.166299 2.359037 4.083599
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.034788 0.402882 1.220923 2.476639 4.294318
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.041457 0.441969 1.318219 2.656358 4.588302
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.045188 0.470422 1.396489 2.808534 4.845594